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Clantily Scad’s Prediction For President 2016. (Made in 2013.)
I know it’s really early, but I’d rather look super impressive and have bragging rights three years later or shrug and say the signs were misleading.
I called Paul Ryan for Romney’s VP on this blog long before his stock jumped on Intrade and long after most people were talking up Marco Rubio. I was briefly a political science major, so I know the basics, but I’ve also canvassed for the Democrats and think I have a pretty decent sense of people’s motivations.
I honestly believe that there’s going to be an epic Chris Christie versus Cory Booker showdown for President in 2016. I think it will be tight but I bet Cory Booker will win.
Other major players in the Republican GOP primary are going to be Marco Rubio and Bobby Jindal. Rand Paul will be around, but mostly serve as the libertarian placeholder for his dad. Rubio will be second banana to Christie, but will not be able to surpass Christie’s aggressiveness.
Other major players in the Democratic primary are going to be Elizabeth Warren and maybe Kirsten Gillibrand. (I’m a New Yorker now, so I’m now more familiar with Gillibrand.) I wish Michelle Obama was running too, because she is super smart and super fly, but she doesn’t seem to be interested in heading that way. It’s still nice to see the progressive ladies coming out into the spotlight to grab the torch from Hillary Clinton.
I do not think Hillary is going to run. Right now, this is not a popular opinion among the liberal wonks, but I’ve been thinking it for a while.
She’s tired of the infighting and made statements about how tired she is in the past. I know politicians can backtrack on their statements. But I’m really getting the sense that she just wants to chill for a while and focus her ambitions on knitting and enjoying retirement. Which is totally reasonable; she’s 65 now.
Nate Silver sounds like he’s leaning the same way with me on the Hillary Prediction: “She doesn’t really like the campaign all that much.”
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Anyway, I’ve written briefly before about how much of a badass Cory Booker is of a candidate. He’s relatively young for Presidential ambitions, but so was an inexperienced Senator named Barack Obama. I think Cory Booker will be great.
Now that Intrade is done, does anyone know where I can legally profit from my political acumen?
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Live-blogging the 10/3/12 Presidential Debate

Presidential Bro Hug
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Pre-game:
The Obion: Biden Implores Obama To ‘Rub One Out’ Before Debate
‘Don’t Want Pussy On The Mind Out There,’ Reports Vice President
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9:07
Mitt Romney invokes a story involving a baby.
Romney bored that unemployed person to death. #MockTheVote #Debates
9:11
Obama talks about specific tax cut numbers and the moderator sounds old and confused.
9:13
Mitt Romney: “I like coal.”
Me too, as long as I’m not getting trapped in a Chilean mine, mining it.
9:20
My Internet stream keeps buffering and I don’t care, because everyone is so boring.
9:23
Boring point-in-case, Obama just talked about “math.”
Good thing they keep talking about math. Nothing gets America fired up more than math. #debates
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9:28
“I like Big Bird.”
This debate reminds me of…
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9:38
I think Obama should have practiced some zingers.
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9:40
First unforced Romney error: “I may need a new accountant.”http://thebea.st/RdXvE9
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9:50
This campaign to re-elect Bill Clinton is going really well.#debates
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9:52
I think Obama’s boring is rubbing off on Romney. R-Money just mentioned “leverage limits.”
9:55
What if Jim Lehrer had a heart attack right now? His resuscitation could be funded by viewers like you!
9:57
Newsflash! Nobody has actually read Dodd-Frank.
Dodd Frank: Was that the girl in the attic? #MockTheVote #Debates
Okay, so I think this show needs a whacky neighbor to really spice things up. Maybe a talking baby, or a dog. OMG MAKE THIS FAMILY GUY!
@wilw Pot-smoking Koala? It could be American Dad.
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10:09
Obama should just curl up in the fetal position and scream health care statistics for the rest of the debate.
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10:10
Romney says he didn’t raise taxes to pay for Romneycare. That’s because it was subsidized heavily by the federal gov’t
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10:12
When can we talk about vaginas and anal sex? #debates #priorities
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10:15
Man, I wish Big Bird was moderating this debate. Big Bird or a corpse would be doing a better job at creating structure than this guy.
10:24
…um…I…
10:25
There’s bars out there serving drinks called “zingers” right now, right?
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10:33
Well, my dream of Obama screaming, “You tied your dog to a car!” have been crushed.
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Jesus tap dancing Christ! I’d rather hear about bitches, zombies, the apocalypse, sandwiches or anal before any more political tweets. Fuck!
North Koreans should be grateful tonight that Dad banned television.#debate
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Good night and good luck.
DNC reax + Gangnam Style Mash-up Music Video
314.2
223.8

Animated Granholm .gif via HuffPo
Obama Releases Birth Certificate Mug For Sale

For only $22.50, you too can drink out of the official personal identification of another human being!
I Still Like Obama
Update: Barack’s campaign staff made him a Tumblr yesterday. Keep working that vanguard social media, ’12 staffers.

Mark Morford’s “Why Are You So Terribly Disappointing?” essays is one of my all time favs of his work. It’s over a year old, but still relevant:
Big f–ing deal. We just do not care. It’s all a big disappointment. Hey, I was expecting to be blown away. I was expecting miracles and transformations and multiple twitching orgasms on sight. Do not come at me with tantalizing promises only to reveal that you can fulfill most of them to a fairly good degree, and not far exceed all of them in every imaginable way…
My God, did you hear that pathetic State of the Union? That guy, that President Obama? Disappointing times a thousand, am I right? What the hell happened to him? Why is he so weak and ineffectual? Why the hell can’t he step up and fix the entire planet in under 400 days like he promised he would, in my dreams and fantasies and impossible liberal grass-fed organic tofu greengasms? Doesn’t he know I put a goddamn bumper sticker on my Subaru for him? I’ve never done that for anyone. Bastard…
But the biggest disappointment of all? Turns out one calm n’ brilliant Barack Obama isn’t enough to solve the problem of 535 vile n’ slothful congressional jackals who aren’t Barack Obama. Go figure.
I’m currently compiling Obama’s accomplishments and failures, for the last 3 years, including which ones specifically were blocked by the House Republicans. It might go up on Suite101 later; I’ve been derelict on my independent contract duties.
Who is Donald Berwick?
Seriously. Who is he? Well, according the news, he’s our new administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.
Obama managed to bypass the Senate scrutiny process while appointing him while Senate was on vacay. Tricky Tricky.
AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka likes him. Not that I really know who Richard Trumka is either.
Let’s see what wiki says, since yanno, Truth is now a democracy:
He is:
-Clinical Professor of Pediatrics and Health Care Policy in the Department of Pediatrics at the Harvard Medical School and Professor of Health Policy and Management at the Harvard School of Public Health. Obama sure loves his Harvardians.
-A pediatrician, Adjunct Staff in the Department of Medicine at Children’s Hospital Boston, and a Consultant in Pediatrics at Massachusetts General Hospital.
-President and Chief Executive Officer of the Institute for Healthcare Improvement.
I’ve never heard of this IHI organization. (I’m more familiar with the Commonwealth Fund). Research time… Well, browsing through their site, they don’t seem to have as large a reach as other organizations, but they have some good public research papers.
Berwick tentatively has my support. He seems highly qualified and I can’t think of a better pick offhand.
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PS
I made another post today about my personal experiences without health insurance. https://scandalousmuffin.wordpress.com/2010/07/07/on-being-one-of-the-46-million-uninsured-americans/
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