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I know it’s really early, but I’d rather look super impressive and have bragging rights three years later or shrug and say the signs were misleading.

I called Paul Ryan for Romney’s VP on this blog long before his stock jumped on Intrade and long after most people were talking up Marco Rubio. I was briefly a political science major, so I know the basics, but I’ve also canvassed for the Democrats and think I have a pretty decent sense of people’s motivations.

I honestly believe that there’s going to be an epic Chris Christie versus Cory Booker showdown for President in 2016. I think it will be tight but I bet Cory Booker will win.

Other major players in the Republican GOP primary are going to be Marco Rubio and Bobby Jindal. Rand Paul will be around, but mostly serve as the libertarian placeholder for his dad. Rubio will be second banana to Christie, but will not be able to surpass Christie’s aggressiveness.

Other major players in the Democratic primary are going to be Elizabeth Warren and maybe Kirsten Gillibrand. (I’m a New Yorker now, so I’m now more familiar with Gillibrand.) I wish Michelle Obama was running too, because she is super smart and super fly, but she doesn’t seem to be interested in heading that way. It’s still nice to see the progressive ladies coming out into the spotlight to grab the torch from Hillary Clinton.

I do not think Hillary is going to run. Right now, this is not a popular opinion among the liberal wonks, but I’ve been thinking it for a while.

She’s tired of the infighting and made statements about how tired she is in the past. I know politicians can backtrack on their statements. But I’m really getting the sense that she just wants to chill for a while and focus her ambitions on knitting and enjoying retirement. Which is totally reasonable; she’s 65 now.

Nate Silver sounds like he’s leaning the same way with me on the Hillary Prediction: “She doesn’t really like the campaign all that much.”

Anyway, I’ve written briefly before about how much of a badass Cory Booker is of a candidate. He’s relatively young for Presidential ambitions, but so was an inexperienced Senator named Barack Obama. I think Cory Booker will be great.

Now that Intrade is done, does anyone know where I can legally profit from my political acumen?

Categories: meta-blogging, Politics or: the art of looking for trouble Tags: barack obama, Chris Christie, cory booker, hillary clinton, intrade, marco rubio, political betting, president, president 2016, presidential election 2016

In 90 minutes I’ll be running a live-blog, mostly from Twitter reactions. It’ll probably be a lot more lazy tomorrow because I have to pack during the debate.

Debate Pre-game:

Matthew Burke ‏@MatthewKBurke

#ObamaDebateTips Wear a Big Bird costume.

Ben ‏@NEKansasPatriot

#ObamaDebateTips Make sure everyone will let you be clear.

TheGOP LIES ‏@Brimonian

#ObamaDebateTips Gangnam style

Doc Nelson ‏@JDNelson_68W

Borrow Hillary’s balls. #ObamaDebateTips

KushFaceGangNj ‏@dpreston88

#ObamaDebateTips Legalize marijuana. #Obama2012

Glenn Quagmire™ ‏@thefunnyquag

“@HahaOneLiners: #ObamaDebateTips Don’t say anything. Just have Morgan Freeman say it for you.”

Milkshakes Anytime ‏@MomMilkshake

End every response with, That’s What She Said. #ObamaDebateTips

Twitty Kitty ‏@TwittyKltty

#ObamaDebateTips Break out in random meowing.

Alexander ✮ ‏@alexpicciarelli

#ObamaDebateTips Meow at Mitt Romney. GAME OVER

Of course Twitters obsessed with cats. Because people on twitter have no friends.

Categories: Politics or: the art of looking for trouble, things that amuse me Tags: funny, obama, politics, president, Presidential Debate, romney, twitter

Happy Labor Day!

It’s not really socialist. There is just no way a modern president could make these sort of remarks in a modern SOTU address.

Abraham Lincoln, Dec. 13, 1861 excerpt:

It is not needed nor fitting here that a general argument should be made in favor of popular institutions, but there is one point, with its connections, not so hackneyed as most others, to which I ask a brief attention. It is the effort to place capital on an equal footing with, if not above, labor in the structure of government. It is assumed that labor is available only in connection with capital; that nobody labors unless somebody else, owning capital, somehow by the use of it induces him to labor. This assumed, it is next considered whether it is best that capital shall hire laborers, and thus induce them to work by their own consent, or buy them and drive them to it without their consent. Having proceeded so far, it is naturally concluded that all laborers are either hired laborers or what we call slaves. And further, it is assumed that whoever is once a hired laborer is fixed in that condition for life.

Now there is no such relation between capital and labor as assumed, nor is there any such thing as a free man being fixed for life in the condition of a hired laborer. Both these assumptions are false, and all inferences from them are groundless.

Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration.

The last sentence in the speech is, “With a reliance on Providence all the more firm and earnest, let us proceed in the great task which events have devolved upon us.” That’s how Abraham Lincoln said, “God Bless America.” Compare that shit to Obama’s 2012 SOTU style. Oh, how times have changed.

Categories: Politics or: the art of looking for trouble, Social commentary Tags: Abraham Lincoln, capital, communism, labor, Labor Day, POTUS, president, Socialism, SOTU, State of the Union

Today’s a good day to buy one of our Made in the USA mugs—with the President’s birth certificate on the back: http://OFA.BO/HxKQbt

For only $22.50, you too can drink out of the official personal identification of another human being!

Categories: Politics or: the art of looking for trouble Tags: 2012, barack obama, birth certificate, election, mug, obama, obama swag, president