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I know it’s really early, but I’d rather look super impressive and have bragging rights three years later or shrug and say the signs were misleading.

I called Paul Ryan for Romney’s VP on this blog long before his stock jumped on Intrade and long after most people were talking up Marco Rubio. I was briefly a political science major, so I know the basics, but I’ve also canvassed for the Democrats and think I have a pretty decent sense of people’s motivations.

I honestly believe that there’s going to be an epic Chris Christie versus Cory Booker showdown for President in 2016. I think it will be tight but I bet Cory Booker will win.

Other major players in the Republican GOP primary are going to be Marco Rubio and Bobby Jindal. Rand Paul will be around, but mostly serve as the libertarian placeholder for his dad. Rubio will be second banana to Christie, but will not be able to surpass Christie’s aggressiveness.

Other major players in the Democratic primary are going to be Elizabeth Warren and maybe Kirsten Gillibrand. (I’m a New Yorker now, so I’m now more familiar with Gillibrand.) I wish Michelle Obama was running too, because she is super smart and super fly, but she doesn’t seem to be interested in heading that way. It’s still nice to see the progressive ladies coming out into the spotlight to grab the torch from Hillary Clinton.

I do not think Hillary is going to run. Right now, this is not a popular opinion among the liberal wonks, but I’ve been thinking it for a while.

She’s tired of the infighting and made statements about how tired she is in the past. I know politicians can backtrack on their statements. But I’m really getting the sense that she just wants to chill for a while and focus her ambitions on knitting and enjoying retirement. Which is totally reasonable; she’s 65 now.

Nate Silver sounds like he’s leaning the same way with me on the Hillary Prediction: “She doesn’t really like the campaign all that much.”

Anyway, I’ve written briefly before about how much of a badass Cory Booker is of a candidate. He’s relatively young for Presidential ambitions, but so was an inexperienced Senator named Barack Obama. I think Cory Booker will be great.

Now that Intrade is done, does anyone know where I can legally profit from my political acumen?

Categories: meta-blogging, Politics or: the art of looking for trouble Tags: barack obama, Chris Christie, cory booker, hillary clinton, intrade, marco rubio, political betting, president, president 2016, presidential election 2016

Presidential Bro Hug

Pre-game:

The Obion: Biden Implores Obama To ‘Rub One Out’ Before Debate

‘Don’t Want Pussy On The Mind Out There,’ Reports Vice President

—-

9:07

Mitt Romney invokes a story involving a baby.

Lizz Winstead @lizzwinstead

Romney bored that unemployed person to death. #MockTheVote #Debates

9:11

Obama talks about specific tax cut numbers and the moderator sounds old and confused.

9:13

Mitt Romney: “I like coal.”

Me too, as long as I’m not getting trapped in a Chilean mine, mining it.

9:20

My Internet stream keeps buffering and I don’t care, because everyone is so boring.

9:23 

Boring point-in-case, Obama just talked about “math.”

@indecision

Good thing they keep talking about math. Nothing gets America fired up more than math. #debates

9:28

“I like Big Bird.”

This debate reminds me of…

9:38

Matt Yglesias ‏@mattyglesias

I think Obama should have practiced some zingers.

9:40

Andrew Sullivan ‏@sullydish

First unforced Romney error: “I may need a new accountant.”http://thebea.st/RdXvE9

9:50

Indecision ‏@indecision

This campaign to re-elect Bill Clinton is going really well.#debates

9:52

I think Obama’s boring is rubbing off on Romney. R-Money just mentioned “leverage limits.”

9:55

What if Jim Lehrer had a heart attack right now? His resuscitation could be funded by viewers like you!

9:57

Newsflash! Nobody has actually read Dodd-Frank.

Lizz Winstead ‏@lizzwinstead

Dodd Frank: Was that the girl in the attic? #MockTheVote #Debates

10:05

Wil Wheaton ‏@wilw

Okay, so I think this show needs a whacky neighbor to really spice things up. Maybe a talking baby, or a dog. OMG MAKE THIS FAMILY GUY!

Candice Hall ‏@sexmysobriquet

@wilw Pot-smoking Koala? It could be American Dad.

10:09

Obama should just curl up in the fetal position and scream health care statistics for the rest of the debate.

10:10

ThinkProgress ‏@thinkprogress

Romney says he didn’t raise taxes to pay for Romneycare. That’s because it was subsidized heavily by the federal gov’t

10:12

Brooklyn Bitch ‏@_BrooklynBitch

When can we talk about vaginas and anal sex? #debates #priorities

10:15

Man, I wish Big Bird was moderating this debate. Big Bird or a corpse would be doing a better job at creating structure than this guy.

10:24

Silent Jim Lehrer ‏@SilentJimLehrer

…um…I…

10:25

There’s bars out there serving drinks called “zingers” right now, right?

10:33

Well, my dream of Obama screaming, “You tied your dog to a car!” have been crushed.

Joëlle ‏@The_Sculptress

Jesus tap dancing Christ! I’d rather hear about bitches, zombies, the apocalypse, sandwiches or anal before any more political tweets. Fuck!

KimJongNumberUn ‏@KimJongNumberUn

North Koreans should be grateful tonight that Dad banned television.#debate

Good night and good luck.

Categories: Politics or: the art of looking for trouble Tags: #mockthevote, 2012, barack obama, debate, liveblog, liveblogging, Mitt Romney, Presidential Debate

1. Nate Silver is showing a significant bump  for the Democrat’s after the DNC, much higher than the RNC’s bump.

Via NYT’s fivethirtyeight:

Electoral Vote Prediction

Barack Obama

314.2

+10.4 since Aug. 31

Mitt Romney

223.8

Animated Granholm .gif via HuffPo

Personally, I thought Jennifer Granholm’s speech was the best. She was one of the more rousing and animated speakers of the night.

5. Factcheck.org had to aggregate their analysis of Obama’s and Biden’s speeches, because apparently they each didn’t have enough exaggerations and out-of-context quotes to warrant posts of their own. (Paul Ryan and Mitt Romney each had their own posts from the RNC previously on factcheck.org)

6. As promised, song for Friday. This is seriously the best Gangnam Style mash-up I’ve seen yet:

Categories: Politics or: the art of looking for trouble, Pop-culture Tags: barack obama, democrats, DNC, election 2012, fivethirtyeight, gangnam style, honey boo boo child, jennifer granholm, joe biden, Nate Silver, obama, politics, PSY

Today’s a good day to buy one of our Made in the USA mugs—with the President’s birth certificate on the back: http://OFA.BO/HxKQbt

For only $22.50, you too can drink out of the official personal identification of another human being!

Categories: Politics or: the art of looking for trouble Tags: 2012, barack obama, birth certificate, election, mug, obama, obama swag, president

Update: Barack’s campaign staff made him a Tumblr yesterday. Keep working that vanguard social media, ’12 staffers.

Mark Morford’s “Why Are You So Terribly Disappointing?” essays is one of my all time favs of his work. It’s over a year old, but still relevant:

Big f–ing deal. We just do not care. It’s all a big disappointment. Hey, I was expecting to be blown away. I was expecting miracles and transformations and multiple twitching orgasms on sight. Do not come at me with tantalizing promises only to reveal that you can fulfill most of them to a fairly good degree, and not far exceed all of them in every imaginable way…

My God, did you hear that pathetic State of the Union? That guy, that President Obama? Disappointing times a thousand, am I right? What the hell happened to him? Why is he so weak and ineffectual? Why the hell can’t he step up and fix the entire planet in under 400 days like he promised he would, in my dreams and fantasies and impossible liberal grass-fed organic tofu greengasms? Doesn’t he know I put a goddamn bumper sticker on my Subaru for him? I’ve never done that for anyone. Bastard…

But the biggest disappointment of all? Turns out one calm n’ brilliant Barack Obama isn’t enough to solve the problem of 535 vile n’ slothful congressional jackals who aren’t Barack Obama. Go figure.

I’m currently compiling Obama’s accomplishments and failures, for the last 3 years, including which ones specifically were blocked by the House Republicans. It might go up on Suite101 later; I’ve been derelict on my independent contract duties.

Categories: Politics or: the art of looking for trouble Tags: barack obama, Mark Morford, Obama tumblr, still like obama

Seriously.  Who is he?  Well, according the news, he’s our new administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

Obama managed to bypass the Senate scrutiny process while appointing him while Senate was on vacay.  Tricky Tricky.

AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka likes him.  Not that I really know who Richard Trumka is either.

Let’s see what wiki says, since yanno, Truth is now a democracy:

He is:

-Clinical Professor of Pediatrics and Health Care Policy in the Department of Pediatrics at the Harvard Medical School and Professor of Health Policy and Management at the Harvard School of Public Health.   Obama sure loves his Harvardians.

-A pediatrician, Adjunct Staff in the Department of Medicine at Children’s Hospital Boston, and a Consultant in Pediatrics at Massachusetts General Hospital.

-President and Chief Executive Officer of the Institute for Healthcare Improvement.

I’ve never heard of this IHI organization.  (I’m more familiar with the Commonwealth Fund). Research time…  Well, browsing through their site, they don’t seem to have as large a reach as other organizations, but they have some good public research papers.

Berwick tentatively has my support.  He seems highly qualified and I can’t think of a better pick offhand.

—-

PS

I made another post today about my personal experiences without health insurance. http://scandalousmuffin.wordpress.com/2010/07/07/on-being-one-of-the-46-million-uninsured-americans/

Categories: Politics or: the art of looking for trouble Tags: barack obama, Donald Berwick, health care reform, medicaid, medicare, politcal tricks, senate, socialized medicine